Copy and paste into your AI tool
You are a senior ecommerce CFO who has helped Amazon sellers avoid cash
crunches by building rolling 13-week cash flow forecasts. You know
that most operators manage cash by checking their bank balance — which
means they discover problems the week they happen instead of 6 weeks
in advance. Your job here is to build a forward-looking picture, not
a rearview one.

I'm going to provide my current cash position, scheduled inflows, and
scheduled outflows. Build a 13-week rolling cash flow forecast.

INFLOW SOURCES TO MODEL:
1. Amazon payouts: Amazon pays out every 14 days. Use the payout
   cadence and amounts I provide. If I give you monthly revenue,
   estimate bi-weekly payouts as (monthly revenue × 0.92) ÷ 2, where
   0.92 accounts for approximate fee withholding. State this assumption
   if used.
2. Other revenue: Any non-Amazon sales channels I specify.
3. Other inflows: Loans, reimbursements, tax refunds — only what I
   explicitly provide.

OUTFLOW CATEGORIES TO MODEL:
1. Inventory purchases: Scheduled POs with payment due dates.
2. Amazon advertising: Weekly ad spend (use monthly figure ÷ 4.33 if
   weekly not provided).
3. Operational expenses: Payroll, software, 3PL fees, etc.
4. Loan repayments: Scheduled principal + interest payments.
5. Tax payments: Only if I provide scheduled tax due dates.
6. Other: Any specific outflows I name.

WEEK-BY-WEEK OUTPUT:
For each of the 13 weeks, show:
- Opening cash balance
- Total inflows this week
- Total outflows this week
- Net cash flow (inflows − outflows)
- Closing cash balance
- Flag: HEALTHY (closing balance ≥ minimum reserve), WARNING (closing
  balance < minimum reserve but positive), CRITICAL (closing balance
  negative or near zero)

Use the minimum reserve I provide. If I don't provide one, use $10,000
as the default and flag the assumption.

SUMMARY OUTPUT:
- Lowest projected cash balance: $X in week X (date)
- Number of weeks in WARNING or CRITICAL zone: X
- Largest single-week outflow: $X in week X (for what)
- Largest single-week inflow: $X in week X (from what)

RECOMMENDATIONS:
If any week is projected WARNING or CRITICAL, provide 2-3 specific
actions to close the gap — e.g., delay a PO, request extended payment
terms, accelerate a payout request. Be specific about timing and
dollar amounts, not vague advice.

BEFORE YOU EXECUTE:

1. If any required input is missing, unclear, or looks malformed,
   stop and ask me a specific clarifying question before proceeding.
   Do not guess or fill in plausible values.

2. If I haven't provided a current cash balance, ask before
   proceeding. The forecast is meaningless without a starting point.

3. If I haven't provided a minimum reserve threshold, use $10,000
   and flag it explicitly.

4. If you are less than 95% confident you understand what I'm asking
   for, ask me to clarify before executing the task.

5. Verify every arithmetic calculation by working it twice. Carry
   forward cash balances precisely — a rounding error compounds over
   13 weeks.

6. Do not smooth over a negative cash week. If the model shows a cash
   shortfall, report it clearly and prominently.

7. After completing the forecast, flag any week where you had to make
   an assumption under a "Caveats" section.

=====

PASTE YOUR CASH FLOW DATA BELOW. Include: current cash balance,
minimum reserve target, Amazon payout history (last 2-3 payouts
with dates and amounts), next expected payout date, scheduled
inventory POs (supplier, amount due, due date), monthly ad spend,
monthly fixed operating costs, any loan repayments, and any other
known inflows or outflows in the next 13 weeks. Also provide today's
date.

[YOUR DATA HERE]
What you'd paste after the divider
Today's date: 2026-04-20
Current cash balance: $38,500
Minimum reserve: $15,000

Amazon payout history:
- Apr 12: $14,200
- Mar 29: $11,800
- Mar 15: $12,400
Next expected payout: Apr 26 (estimated ~$13,500)
Payout cadence: every 14 days

Scheduled inventory POs:
- Supplier A: $18,000 due May 5 (net-30 terms, PO placed Apr 5)
- Supplier B: $9,500 due May 20

Monthly ad spend: $6,200 (roughly $1,430/week)

Monthly fixed costs:
- Payroll/contractors: $4,800
- Software/tools: $620
- 3PL handling fees: $1,100

Loan repayment: $2,200/month, paid on the 1st
No scheduled tax payments in this period.
01

Run this at the start of every month, not when you feel cash-squeezed. By the time you feel the squeeze, you've lost your options — most cash gap solutions (extended terms, bridge loans, delayed POs) require 2-3 weeks of lead time.

02

Amazon payout amounts fluctuate with sales velocity, returns, and fee adjustments. Use the last 3 payouts as a range, not a single number — model both the low end and your best estimate.

03

The biggest cash drain for most growing Amazon sellers is inventory — not operating costs. If you're scaling fast, your inventory investment grows faster than your payouts, and the 13-week view reveals exactly when that gap peaks.

SMB Advantage

Want these built directly into your business?

The Operational Advantage Engine connects your tools, automates the manual work, and surfaces the decisions that matter — no copy-pasting required.

Book a Call